Poverty and Vulnerability in Mozambique: An Analysis of Dynamics and Correlates in Light of the Covid-19 Crisis Using Synthetic Panels
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Poverty and Vulnerability in Mozambique : An Analysis of Dynamics and Correlates in Light of the Covid-19 Crisis Using Synthetic Panels. / Salvucci, Vincenzo; Tarp, Finn.
In: Review of Development Economics, Vol. 25, No. 4, 2021, p. 1895-1918.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Poverty and Vulnerability in Mozambique
T2 - An Analysis of Dynamics and Correlates in Light of the Covid-19 Crisis Using Synthetic Panels
AU - Salvucci, Vincenzo
AU - Tarp, Finn
PY - 2021
Y1 - 2021
N2 - This study aims at providing new insights into poverty, vulnerability, and their correlates in Mozambique, applying synthetic panels techniques and expanding on earlier analyses. Our results suggest that there is a high degree of poverty immobility, especially in rural areas in the northern and central regions and for low- educated people. Even nonpoor households are at a high risk to vulnerability, and this risk does not differ much for households in urban/rural areas or in different regions or with different education levels. We also observe that a large portion of the population remains in or out of poverty over the entire year, with a higher percentage of individuals moving into poverty between the dry and the rainy seasons and a nonnegligible proportion of vulnerable people not managing to revert to nonpoverty in the subsequent dry season. Overall, these findings are highly relevant for designing anti- poverty policies and strategies, as they provide information on intra- year shocks and on some of the characteristics related to upward and downward mobility over longer time spans, also with regard to the recent Covid- 19 and other recent shocks suffered by the country.
AB - This study aims at providing new insights into poverty, vulnerability, and their correlates in Mozambique, applying synthetic panels techniques and expanding on earlier analyses. Our results suggest that there is a high degree of poverty immobility, especially in rural areas in the northern and central regions and for low- educated people. Even nonpoor households are at a high risk to vulnerability, and this risk does not differ much for households in urban/rural areas or in different regions or with different education levels. We also observe that a large portion of the population remains in or out of poverty over the entire year, with a higher percentage of individuals moving into poverty between the dry and the rainy seasons and a nonnegligible proportion of vulnerable people not managing to revert to nonpoverty in the subsequent dry season. Overall, these findings are highly relevant for designing anti- poverty policies and strategies, as they provide information on intra- year shocks and on some of the characteristics related to upward and downward mobility over longer time spans, also with regard to the recent Covid- 19 and other recent shocks suffered by the country.
KW - Faculty of Social Sciences
KW - Mozambique
KW - poverty
KW - poverty dynamics
KW - synthetic panels
KW - vulnerability
U2 - 10.1111/rode.12835
DO - 10.1111/rode.12835
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 34908904
VL - 25
SP - 1895
EP - 1918
JO - Review of Development Economics
JF - Review of Development Economics
SN - 1363-6669
IS - 4
ER -
ID: 287005101