NBIA Colloquium via Zoom by prof. Kim Sneppen
Our colleague Kim Sneppen, who is a member of the Danish expert panel that advises the Danish government regarding the Covid-19 epidemic, has kindly agreed to explain to us some of the details behind the calculations used.
We hereby invite you to join the NBIA Colloquium via Zoom on Friday, May 22 at 3:15 PM
Speaker: Kim Sneppen (NBI)
Title: Facts and failures in models of Covid-19
Abstract: Recently, a powerful example of a replicating nano-machinery known as the Covid-19 virus entered our society. In principle, it's just a normal disease that we attempt to model with 3 or 4 simple coupled equations with 2 important parameters: a time-scale, and a replication factor (the famous R0). Then we try to guess how changes in societal behavior affects R0, and report back to decision-makers higher up.
However, this virus has more "personality" than that. It behaves differently in different people, and perhaps only a few will infect a lot of people, while most only infect a few, an example of the famous
80/20 rule. I will discuss this and other aspects of the Covid-19 epidemic from the perspective of agent-based models.
To participate on Friday, click on:
https://ucph-ku.zoom.us/s/61727079110?pwd=TUdGUDU2TUpPRGtua283MDNsT2pXUT09
If you should be asked for a password, please insert the following:
TUdGUDU2TUpPRGtua283MDNsT2pXUT09
The colloquium will be moderated by me and we strongly encourage you to participate actively by asking questions during the talk. I will briefly explain how this can be done just before the colloquium starts.
We look forward to seeing you on Friday!
Best,
Poul Henrik Damgaard