Growth and Poverty: A Pragmatic Assessment and Future Prospects
Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapport › Bidrag til bog/antologi › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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Growth and Poverty : A Pragmatic Assessment and Future Prospects. / Arndt, Channing; Leyaro, Vincent; Mahrt, Kristi; Tarp, Finn.
Tanzania: The Path to Prosperity. red. / Christopher S. Adam; Paul Collier; Benno Ndulu. Oxford University Press, 2017. s. 190-213.Publikation: Bidrag til bog/antologi/rapport › Bidrag til bog/antologi › Forskning › fagfællebedømt
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RIS
TY - CHAP
T1 - Growth and Poverty
T2 - A Pragmatic Assessment and Future Prospects
AU - Arndt, Channing
AU - Leyaro, Vincent
AU - Mahrt, Kristi
AU - Tarp, Finn
PY - 2017
Y1 - 2017
N2 - This chapter considers the evolution of welfare of the Tanzanian population using a multi-dimensional approach. It also employs a detailed economy-wide model of the Tanzanian economy to explore growth and monetary poverty reduction scenarios from 2007 to 2015. This approach permits assessment of the coherence of observed trends in macroeconomic variables and projects consumption poverty outcomes to 2015. In the multi-dimensional approach, we find that real gains have been achieved. On monetary poverty, our model broadly reproduces key macroeconomic features of the past eight years. We find that published consumption poverty reductions for 2007 to 2011/12 from the most recent assessment fall within a reasonable to optimistic range. And, the simulations generate broader based growth across the income distribution compared with the recent assessment. Looking forward, the simulations from 2012 to 2105 project a faster rate of poverty reduction due to more favourable terms of trade.
AB - This chapter considers the evolution of welfare of the Tanzanian population using a multi-dimensional approach. It also employs a detailed economy-wide model of the Tanzanian economy to explore growth and monetary poverty reduction scenarios from 2007 to 2015. This approach permits assessment of the coherence of observed trends in macroeconomic variables and projects consumption poverty outcomes to 2015. In the multi-dimensional approach, we find that real gains have been achieved. On monetary poverty, our model broadly reproduces key macroeconomic features of the past eight years. We find that published consumption poverty reductions for 2007 to 2011/12 from the most recent assessment fall within a reasonable to optimistic range. And, the simulations generate broader based growth across the income distribution compared with the recent assessment. Looking forward, the simulations from 2012 to 2105 project a faster rate of poverty reduction due to more favourable terms of trade.
KW - Faculty of Social Sciences
KW - Growth
KW - Poverty
KW - multi-dimensional approach to welfare
KW - economy-wide modelling
KW - macroeconomic simulations
UR - https://global.oup.com/academic/product/tanzania-9780198704812?q=finn%20tarp&lang=en&cc=fi
U2 - 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198704812.003.0009
DO - 10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198704812.003.0009
M3 - Book chapter
SN - 9780198704812
SP - 190
EP - 213
BT - Tanzania
A2 - Adam, Christopher S.
A2 - Collier, Paul
A2 - Ndulu, Benno
PB - Oxford University Press
ER -
ID: 164384861