Terrorism, Anti-Terrorism, and the Copycat Effect
Publikation: Working paper › Forskning
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Terrorism, Anti-Terrorism, and the Copycat Effect. / Jensen, Thomas.
Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, 2007.Publikation: Working paper › Forskning
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TY - UNPB
T1 - Terrorism, Anti-Terrorism, and the Copycat Effect
AU - Jensen, Thomas
N1 - JEL Classification: D74, H56
PY - 2007
Y1 - 2007
N2 - In this paper we formulate and analyze a simple dynamic model of the interaction between terrorists and authorities. Our primary aim is to analyze how the introduction of a so called copycat effect influences behavior and outcomes. We first show that our simple model of terrorist cells implies that an increase in anti-terrorism makes it more likely that cells will plan small rather than large attacks. Furthermore, we see that an increase in anti-terrorism can make a terrorist attack more likely. Analyzing the problem of optimal anti-terrorism we see that the introduction of a copycat effect rationalizes an increase in the level of anti-terrorism after a large attack. Using this result we show how the copycat effect changes the dynamic pattern of terrorism attacks and what the long run consequences are
AB - In this paper we formulate and analyze a simple dynamic model of the interaction between terrorists and authorities. Our primary aim is to analyze how the introduction of a so called copycat effect influences behavior and outcomes. We first show that our simple model of terrorist cells implies that an increase in anti-terrorism makes it more likely that cells will plan small rather than large attacks. Furthermore, we see that an increase in anti-terrorism can make a terrorist attack more likely. Analyzing the problem of optimal anti-terrorism we see that the introduction of a copycat effect rationalizes an increase in the level of anti-terrorism after a large attack. Using this result we show how the copycat effect changes the dynamic pattern of terrorism attacks and what the long run consequences are
KW - Faculty of Social Sciences
KW - terrorist cells
KW - optimal anti-terrorism
KW - copycat effect
M3 - Working paper
BT - Terrorism, Anti-Terrorism, and the Copycat Effect
PB - Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen
ER -
ID: 877346