Master Thesis Defense by Ijiltsetseg Dorjsuren

Title: Spatial patterns of change in regional climate projections over Mongolia

Mongolia, a small nation with a population of just over 3.5 million, is particularly vulnerable to impacts of global warming due to its unique geographical location. The country has already experienced a warming of 2.46°C since 1940, a rate faster than the global average. A simple pattern scaling approach was performed on regional climate projections to identify emerging patterns of future temperature and precipitation changes over Mongolia. The pattern scaling method enables comparison of different simulations by scaling the geographical patterns of projected changes in temperature and precipitation to 1°C of global mean temperature change. It is found that Regional Climate Model (RCM) projections of temperature limited to Central Asia (CAS) and East Asia (EAS) regions agree that the annual temperature change per degree of global annual mean temperature change over Mongolia is between 0.9-1.1°C per °C.

Supervisor: Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Censor: Martin Drews (DTU)